CARBOTURA
Executive Brief
Community Intelligence Portal · Ward County, North Dakota

CARBOTURA

Advanced Circular Manufacturing · Minot, North Dakota
48.233°N · 97.130°W · US-2 Corridor · North Dakota
B2G · Phase Initial 100 TPD
Package Hub

What this document is

The entry point for Carbotura’s Circular Advantage engagement with Minot — the documents covering the feedstock system, the commercial structure, the economics, the decision and what it means for residents.

Three things this document says
  1. Minot is at a decision point: regional ACM siting capacity goes to first movers, and a 12–18 month build means a 2028 commissioning target needs authorisation now.
  2. Advanced Circular Manufacturing converts the residual stream into products under one agreement, with no the City capital committed.
  3. The engagement decision has to be taken while the option is still open — authorising later forecloses the earlier phases.
Looking for something else?

Engagement Path — Follow the Numbers

1 LOI / MOU engagement begins A non-binding Letter of Intent / Memorandum of Understanding. It opens the engagement, establishes the joint working group and data exchange, and carries no cost and no obligation for the community. Steps 1–5 are paper — typically 3–18 months in total.
2 Term Sheet verification & terms The verification phase. Feedstock streams, volumes, and the community’s disposal-cost basis (FWDC) are confirmed, the site is selected, and the per-tonne commercial terms are agreed before anything is signed long-term.
3 CSA execution = T0 The Circular Supply Agreement — a minimum 30-year supply contract with perpetual continuation. Execution starts the project clock (T0). It locks the Beneficiation Fee, the Circular Royalty™, the feedstock commitment, and site access.
4 Underwriting Carbotura-financed Carbotura arranges 100% of the facility financing under its Build-Own-Operate model. The community contributes zero capital and takes no construction or financing risk; an 18-month Parent Performance Guarantee backs all payment obligations.
5 Permitting manufacturing basis The facility is permitted as manufacturing (NAICS 31–33), never as waste processing. Both parties commit to the Regulatory Predicate Transition — the endpoint is categorical: manufacturing classification across all permitting, licensing and regulatory contexts.
6 Deployment build · 12–18 months The facility is manufactured and deployed in standardized 100 TPD modular increments rather than built as one-off construction — a 12–18 month build from CSA execution to commissioning.
7 COD & Royalties royalty +13mo after first fee Commercial Operations Date: the facility begins accepting feedstock. The Beneficiation Fee applies to delivered tonnage, and the first Circular Royalty™ payment follows 13 months after the first fee payment, then monthly, escalating every year.

Download the Engagement Path one-pager (PDF)

Carbotura · Advanced Circular Manufacturing · Community Overview
For City Officials · Executive Briefing

Council-session briefing →

Ten-slide walkthrough: what ACM is (and isn't), what Minot receives, three configurations, the regulatory pathway, and the ask — authorize a Deployment Study. 8-minute read.

Open the briefing →
100
Phase Initial TPD
Ward County base load · Verified
2,000
Phase Expanded TPD
Full regional pathway · Verified
$75
Beneficiation Fee (TMC Fee) / ton Year 1
Architect override below $100 canonical · 2.5%/yr escalator
+$210M
30-yr Combined Benefit
Phase Initial only · Estimated
Q3 2029
First Royalty Payment
PI COD + 13mo · T0 + 37mo
$0
County Capital Obligation
BOO structure · Carbotura-funded

Engagement Type

B2G · Counterparty: City of Minot / Ward County. Anchor 100 TPD Phase Initial fully supportable from Ward County feedstock alone. Bismarck and Grand Forks extensions optional and separately negotiated.

Feedstock Corridor

~5,000 TPD theoretical inferred resource across the 50-mile catchment plus long-haul Bismarck/Grand Forks partnerships. Ward County's own municipal landfill is its sole local disposal facility. Phase Initial requires no third-party partnership and no contract negotiation.

Decision Window

No regulatory hard deadline. Decision window driven by regional siting capacity and the 12–18 month Phase Initial build. Authorization deadline: Q2 2026.

Community Documents

Six institutional-grade documents covering waste system diagnosis, commercial structure, economic delta, and community impact.

↗ External Resource
Adoption Infographic · Public
What Adopting Carbotura Changes
A plain-language tour of how a 30-year ACM commitment changes a community's fiscal position, employment, and waste system structure. Generic illustrative figures.
adoption.carbotura.com Plain Language
Open ↗
Deployment Study · SP-03
Feedstock Profile & System Diagnosis
Full diagnostic of Ward County's manufacturing-feedstock streams — volume table, cost structure, UNFC reserve classification, logistics, regulatory baseline, and infrastructure map.
100 TPD Phase Initial ~5,000 TPD Inferred UNFC §1.5
Open document ↗
Proposal · SP-01
30-Year Circular Supply Agreement
Transaction structure, Regulatory Predicate Transition (RPT), site candidates, Beneficiation Fee, Circular Royalty™ formula, risk register, timeline, and community value stack.
$75/ton TMC 120% Base Royalty 3 Site Zones
Open document ↗
EIR · SP-01 + SP-02
Economic Impact Report
State A vs State B delta model — 30-year gross cost displacement, Circular Royalty™ schedule, Phase Delta Map, risk and sensitivity analysis, and decision window quantification.
~+$210M Combined 12 Risks Mapped No-Fallback Analysis
Open document ↗
Executive Brief · SP-02
Decision Instrument
Single-document action brief for elected officials and municipal leadership. Key facts, fiscal period summary, deferral cost quantification, and LOI/MOU execution CTA.
Q2 2026 Deadline $0 Capital Key Facts Table
Open document ↗
Community Benefits · SP-04
Community & Resident Impact
Plain-language community benefit overview — employment, environmental performance, local economy, and resident FAQ. Designed for public engagement and community meetings.
25–280 Direct Jobs Carbon Negative Public Audience
Open document ↗

Basis of Presentation

Basis of Presentation — Assumptions & Confidence

Source-of-truth references for the key figures cited throughout this document. Full Assumption Registry available on request from the Ward County engagement team.

FieldValueConfidenceSource
Beneficiation Fee (TMC Fee) Year 1$75/ton at FLOOR (paid by County)LOCKEDMASTER_RULES v4.6 §4.2 formula floor · Architect override below $100 canonical
Beneficiation Fee escalator2.5%/yr compoundedLOCKEDMASTER_RULES v4.6 §4.2
Circular Royalty™ Year 2 / Year 30$120 / $295.48 per ton (Carbotura to County)LOCKEDRoyalty math glossary MR §4.13
FWDC (Fully-Loaded Cost of Disposal)~$82/ton estimated (ND regional blended)ESTIMATEDWard County / North Dakota regional gate + collection rates · subject to Deployment Study verification
Phase Initial TPD~150 TPD addressableESTIMATEDWard County municipal waste stream analysis
CSA term30-year minimum + perpetual continuationLOCKEDMASTER_RULES v4.6 §4.7
Direct FTE (Phase Initial)~38ESTIMATEDCanonical scaling: (TPD÷400) × 100
Indirect employment (Phase Initial)~115ESTIMATEDCanonical 3:1 indirect multiplier
Annual economic impact~$12M+ (Phase Initial)ESTIMATEDCanonical: (TPD÷400) × $32M+

Confidence flags follow the Carbotura Confidence Flag classification: VERIFIED (contracted or audited) MODELED (calculated from documented inputs) ESTIMATED (best-available, locked at Term Sheet phase).

Before the LOI/MOU

Six Questions That Decide Everything

Three to open the conversation. Three to close it. If the answers run the way they always do in Ward County, the LOI/MOU writes itself.

Three Questions to Open · The Yeses
01
Has Ward County identified rural manufacturing development and waste cost reduction as priorities in its economic development strategy?
YES
Ward County, like most Central North Dakota rural counties, faces rising disposal costs with no economies of scale and limited capacity to negotiate with regional landfill operators. Advanced circular manufacturing converts a cost liability into a job-creating manufacturing asset — 48 direct FTE at Phase Initial, 192 at Phase Expanded.
02
Would Ward County welcome a 30-year Circular Royalty™ stream beginning 13 months after corresponding Beneficiation Fee payment?
YES
At 100 TPD Phase Initial, the Circular Royalty™ reaches ~$6.6M/yr by Year 2. At Phase Expanded (400 TPD), ~$26.3M/yr. Both are paid gross and independently of the Beneficiation Fee (TMC Fee). For a rural county budget, a 30-year royalty stream at this scale is a structural fiscal transformation.
03
Does Ward County face landfill capacity constraints and rising disposal costs that a small rural jurisdiction cannot address through conventional infrastructure procurement?
YES
Rural North Dakota counties lack the population base to negotiate competitive landfill rates or finance independent waste infrastructure. Regional facility dependency means cost exposure without control. The BOO model requires no County CapEx — Carbotura finances, builds, and operates. Ward County contributes access, not capital.
Three yeses. One follow-up.
If the answer to all three is yes — and it always is — the only remaining question is why the LOI/MOU has not been signed. The three questions below make that silence impossible to maintain.
Three Questions to Close · The Consequences
04
What competing circular economy or advanced processing agreement has Ward County executed?
NONE
No ACM alternative exists for rural Central North Dakota. No competing offer combines zero-County-CapEx, manufacturing-grade employment, and a 30-year royalty return at Ward County's scale. The proposition is open — but rural communities move slowly, and the first county to execute locks the feedstock allocation.
05
Is Ward County's current disposal cost trajectory manageable without a BOO processing partner?
NO
Regional landfill tipping fees rise consistently. Rural counties have no rate leverage. No royalty return offsets disposal costs under the status quo. The alternative is not a stable cost — it is a rising one with no ceiling and no revenue hedge.
06
How long does it take to commission ACM in Ward County after the LOI/MOU is executed?
~24 MONTHS
Phase Initial Commercial Operating Date is T0 + 24 months (norm). Post-permit construction runs 14–24 months. North Dakota permitting and site confirmation run in parallel with early build stages. First Circular Royalty™ payment begins 13 months after first delivery — but material commissioning itself completes at ~24 months.
Execute the LOI/MOU → Q3 2026 deadline · Read the Brief
Programme Overview · General Audience

What Adopting Carbotura Changes →↗

Programme-level explainer: the Circular Supply Agreement (CSA) — Beneficiation Fee (TMC Fee) + Circular Royalty™ — plus the Exogenesis™ bonus, fiscal timeline, State A vs State B delta, and the Regulatory Predicate Transition — the dewaste pathway off waste-domain law onto manufacturing law. Applies to every community.

Learn about the programme →↗