Sections

§1Transaction Structure

§1.0Regulatory Predicate Transition (RPT)

Regulatory Predicate Transition — both parties commit to the dewaste pathway

Advanced Circular Manufacturing is designed as a manufacturing process, not a waste-management activity. Microwave Catalytic Reforming (MCR) operates in an anoxic, oxygen-free, sub-atmospheric environment — mechanistically incompatible with combustion or biological degradation. The Regulatory Predicate Transition (RPT) — also framed as the dewaste pathway — is the coordinated regulatory shift from legacy disposal-predicate statutes onto manufacturing-predicate classifications (NAICS 31–33, ACM set 325180 · 325998 · 327992 · 331110 · 331314 · 331492), with the EPA RCRA §1004(27) / 40 CFR §261.2(e) exclusion pathway at federal level. In North Dakota, solid waste is governed by NDCC 23.1-08 and NDAC 33.1-20; the state has no advanced-recycling or manufacturing-classification statute, so the transition is worked with NDDEQ case by case. Manufacturing classification is actively pursued; nothing in this proposal is contingent on it. Both parties commit to the RPT pathway. Carbotura brings the process-classification evidence, regulatory engagement experience and the legal-technical framework. The counterparty brings the standing to engage the local regulator and the political mandate for the transition. The endpoint is categorical: manufacturing classification across all permitting, licensing, and regulatory contexts. Interim bridging authorities may apply during the transition.

§1.1Commercial Structure

The 30-year CSA turns a landfill-bound material stream into a royalty-producing asset, with no City or County capital.

The proposed instrument is a 30-year Circular Supply Agreement (CSA) between Carbotura and the City of Minot / Ward County (anchor counterparty). Partnerships with Bismarck or Grand Forks are possible later additions under separate agreements; none is assumed or sized here. Under the CSA, the counterparty becomes the manufacturing feedstock supplier to the ACM facility; ownership of and liability for the delivered material transfer to Carbotura at delivery. This is a supply arrangement, not a service contract and not a procurement instrument.

Carbotura's commitments under the CSA

  • Deploy, own, operate, and maintain the ACM facility for the 30-year CSA term
  • Fund 100% of deployment capital: $75M for Phase Initial (100 TPD); $130M in total if Phase Medium (200 TPD) follows
  • Pay the Circular Royalty™ equal to 120% of the current-year Beneficiation Fee per ton, rising 1 percentage point per year, paid 13 months after Carbotura's receipt of each Beneficiation Fee payment, rolling monthly
  • Deliver designed environmental performance: near-zero residual and near-zero emissions on committed streams
  • Commit to the Regulatory Predicate Transition (RPT) as a joint pathway alongside site permitting

Counterparty's commitments under the CSA

  • Direct committed feedstock streams to the ACM facility
  • Deliver feedstock to the ACM facility using existing City Sanitation collection, rerouted from the City of Minot Landfill to Carbotura's site. No new fleet obligation; the change is a routing change
  • Pay the Beneficiation Fee (TMC Fee) per ton delivered: $100/ton in Year 1, escalating 2.5%/yr — the bottom of the standard $100–$150/ton range
  • Honor the 30-year CSA term, subject to standard force majeure and cure provisions
What the fee buys, stated plainly

$100/ton is above the City of Minot Landfill's published MSW gate rate of $51/ton (effective 2025-01-01; City of Minot landfill rates). Carbotura claims no disposal saving. The case rests on four things: the Circular Royalty™, which exceeds the fee per ton from Year 2 and widens every year; no City or County capital; landfill airspace and site life preserved; and a manufacturing destination for the material.

§2Deployment Architecture

§2.1Phase Configuration Table

PhaseTPDModulesTPYShare of City landfill MSW intake (~82,000 t/yr)Carbotura capitalTiming
Phase Initial100136,500~45%$75M12–24 months from permit issuance to commercial operation
Phase Medium200273,000~89%$130M total ($75M + $55M)A later step, when the County chooses

Module math: one 100 TPD ACM module per 100 TPD. The first module carries the shared site infrastructure ($75M); the second module is $55M. Intake basis: about 82,000 t/yr MSW plus about 68,800 t/yr inert, from six counties (estimated from a vendor case study of the City landfill, undated, written after the 2011 flood; retrieved 2026-11-10). 365 operating days.

§2.2Capital Structure

No City or County capital. No deployment debt on public books. No operating liability after commercial operation. The counterparty's financial obligation under the CSA is the per-ton Beneficiation Fee. Carbotura funds 100% of deployment capital — $75M at 100 TPD, $130M at 200 TPD — through institutional capital under separate SPV structuring. The City's and County's general funds, debt capacity, bonding authority and credit ratings are unaffected.

§2.3Feedstock Stream Coverage by Phase

StreamPhase InitialPhase MediumAccess Status
Residential material collected by City Sanitation (twice weekly)✓✓City-controlled
Commercial material now delivered to the City of Minot Landfill✓✓Terms to confirm
Material from the other counties that deliver to the City landfill✓Conditional
Bismarck / Grand Forks partnershipsPossible later addition · separate agreement · not sized

§2.4Site Candidate Analysis

Three candidate areas within Ward County and the US-2 / US-52 corridor. None is verified and no parcel has been identified. Minot's zoning ordinance (March 2020 revision) names its industrial districts M1, M2 and M3; district fit is confirmed at the Deployment Study with geotechnical, zoning and environmental review.

Priority 1 Finding

The North Minot US-2 Industrial Corridor (P1) is the working preference: (a) US-2 frontage for inbound feedstock from any Ward County origin; (b) industrial districts consistent with a manufacturing use; (c) room for a second module if the County chooses Phase Medium. P2 (near the City of Minot Landfill on 37th Ave SW) is favored if haul minimization drives selection. P3 is favored if acreage flexibility matters most.

Complete Site Candidate Matrix
PriorityZoneAcreageZoningLand AuthorityCo-location AdvantageKey Consideration
P1North Minot US-2 Industrial CorridorTo be confirmed by the Deployment StudyM1 / M2 (to confirm)City of Minot + private (to be confirmed by the Deployment Study)US-2 frontage; central to feedstock originsNo parcel identified; confirm at Deployment Study
P2Near the City of Minot Landfill (37th Ave SW)To be confirmed by the Deployment StudyIndustrial (to confirm)City of Minot / private (to be confirmed by the Deployment Study)Short haul from current delivery pointNo parcel identified; zoning compatibility to confirm
P3South Minot / US-2 CorridorTo be confirmed by the Deployment StudyMixed use / Industrial (to confirm)Ward County / private (to be confirmed by the Deployment Study)Greater acreage flexibilityEnvironmental review required (wetlands/aquifer proximity to be confirmed by the Deployment Study)

§2.5Finding: Phase Initial Feedstock Sufficiency

Finding

Phase Initial 100 TPD (36,500 t/yr) is about 45% of the MSW the City of Minot Landfill reports receiving. It needs no partner jurisdiction and no inter-jurisdictional CSA. Phase Medium 200 TPD (73,000 t/yr) is about 89% of that intake and is a later, separate decision at the County's pace. The Minimum Annual Feedstock Volume (MAFV) is set in the CSA after the Deployment Study confirms tonnage.

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§3Economic Structure — Beneficiation Fee

Beneficiation Fee (TMC Fee): $100/ton in Year 1, escalating 2.5%/yr — the bottom of the standard $100–$150/ton range.

ParameterValueSource
Minot Beneficiation Fee (TMC Fee) — Year 1$100 / tonthe bottom of the standard $100–$150/ton range
Annual escalator2.5% / yearCarbotura standard
Programme range (reference)$100–$150 / tonCarbotura standard parameters
City of Minot Landfill — published MSW gate rate$51 / tonVerified · minotnd.gov, effective 2025-01-01
City of Minot Landfill — published inert gate rate$37 / tonVerified · same source
Honest comparison

$100/ton is above the City of Minot Landfill's published MSW gate rate of $51/ton (effective 2025-01-01). Carbotura claims no disposal saving. The fee pays for Total Material Conversion; the value to Minot comes from the Circular Royalty™ (§4), no City or County capital, preserved landfill airspace, and a manufacturing destination for the material.

ScenarioTPYFee / ton, Year 1Annual Beneficiation Fee, Year 1
Phase Initial (100 TPD)36,500$100.00$3.65M
Phase Medium (200 TPD)73,000$100.00$7.29M

Illustrative. Each scenario is shown as if run from the first fee payment at that scale; the fee is invoiced monthly in arrears for the previous month's delivered tonnage. Final schedule confirms at CSA execution after the Deployment Study confirms tonnage.

§4Circular Royalty™

Royalty(m+13) = TMC(m) × Royalty_Rate(m)

ParameterValue
Base royalty rate (Year 1)120% of the current-year Beneficiation Fee
Annual royalty rate escalator+1 percentage point per year
Beneficiation Fee escalator2.5% / year
Payment lag13 months after Carbotura's receipt of each Beneficiation Fee payment
Payment basisRolling monthly
CSA term30 years from Phase Initial commercial operation
Pre-royalty periodMonths 1–12 (Year 1)

"Gross cost displacement and Circular Royalty™ cash flow are quantified separately.

"At steady state, the Circular Royalty™ is designed to exceed the Beneficiation Fee on a per-ton basis."

"Circular Royalty™ payments begin 13 months after corresponding Beneficiation Fee payments and ramp to full run-rate on a rolling basis."

In Minot no cost displacement is quantified: the $100/ton fee is above the $51/ton landfill gate rate, so this proposal shows the fee and the royalty only.

Fiscal Period Distinction

Pre-Royalty · Year 1 · Months 1–12
Beneficiation Fee paid: $3.65M
Circular Royalty™ received: $0 — 13-month lag
200 TPD: fee $7.29M · royalty $0
Royalty Begins · Year 2
Beneficiation Fee paid: $3.74M
Circular Royalty™ received: $4.38M
200 TPD: fee $7.48M · royalty $8.76M
Year 30
Beneficiation Fee paid: $7.47M
Circular Royalty™ received: $10.79M
200 TPD: fee $14.94M · royalty $21.57M

Royalty received, receipts basis: paid 13 months in arrears; Year n = M(n−1) × BF(n−1). Illustrative. From Year 2 the royalty exceeds the fee per ton, and the gap widens every year.

Gross Fiscal Position — Beneficiation Fee / Circular Royalty™
Two independent gross streams shown separately.
Circular Royalty™ formula · $100/ton Beneficiation Fee Year 1 (the bottom of the standard $100–$150/ton range) · +2.5%/yr · 120% base · +1pp/yr · royalty received, receipts basis (13-month lag) · 36,500 / 73,000 TPY · Illustrative
30-Year Fiscal Schedule — Full Detail
YearFee paid / tonRoyalty received / ton100 TPD fee100 TPD royalty200 TPD fee200 TPD royalty
1$100.00$0.00 (pre-royalty)$3.65M$0$7.29M$0
2$102.50$120.00$3.74M$4.38M$7.48M$8.76M
3$105.06$124.02$3.83M$4.53M$7.67M$9.05M
5$110.38$132.46$4.03M$4.83M$8.06M$9.67M
10$124.89$155.96$4.56M$5.69M$9.12M$11.38M
15$141.30$183.34$5.16M$6.69M$10.32M$13.38M
20$159.87$215.23$5.84M$7.86M$11.67M$15.71M
25$180.87$252.34$6.60M$9.21M$13.20M$18.42M
30$204.64$295.48$7.47M$10.79M$14.94M$21.57M
30-year gross——~$160.2M~$207.3M~$320.5M~$414.7M

Royalty received, receipts basis: paid 13 months in arrears; Year n = M(n−1) × BF(n−1). Illustrative. Fee and royalty are separate gross amounts and are never netted.

§5Risk Register

#RiskKey DriverBearerMitigationResidual
1Fee above the local gate rate$100/ton fee vs. $51/ton City landfill MSW gate rateCounterpartyStated openly; no disposal saving claimed. The Circular Royalty™ exceeds the fee per ton from Year 2 and the gap widens every yearMedium
2Technology performanceMCR operating performance vs. production specificationCarbotura (finances, owns and operates)Verification chain as design intent: component certified → module certified by an Authorized Systems Integrator (ASI) → Master Authorized Systems Integrator (MASI) integration, test and burn-in at FAT → SAT and SIT certify commercial operationLow
3Timeline slippageDeployment Study, permitting, financing, deploymentBoth12–24 months from permit issuance to commercial operation, with cure provisions in the CSAMedium
4Competing landfill capacityTwo permitted MSW landfills in Ward County: the City of Minot Landfill (NDDEQ permit 0272) and McDaniel Landfill Inc, Sawyer (NDDEQ permit 0326)Counterparty (delivery obligation)MAFV and delivery terms set in the CSA; City Sanitation collection routed to the ACM siteMedium
5Competitive procurementOther operators may approach the City or CountyBothRPT-aligned position; 30-year CSA termLow
6PFAS regulatoryNDDEQ monitors PFAS (including landfill leachate since 2018) but has no state PFAS rule; federal rules may changeCounterparty (landfill exposure); Carbotura (feedstock spec)PFAS fully broken down in downstream processing at 1,800–3,000°C; feedstock spec in CSALow

§6Timeline

MilestoneTimingNotes
Engagement and LOI / MOUWhen the City and County chooseNo regulatory deadline applies
Deployment StudyAfter LOI / MOUTonnage confirmation, geotechnical, zoning, permit framework
CSA executionAfter the Term Sheet phaseCouncil authorization
Permit issuanceNDDEQ processPre-application engagement at the Deployment Study
Phase Initial commercial operation (100 TPD)12–24 months from permit issuanceFeedstock delivery begins; Beneficiation Fee invoiced monthly in arrears
First Circular Royalty™ payment13 months after Carbotura's receipt of the first Beneficiation Fee paymentRolling monthly thereafter, per ton, for the life of the CSA
Phase Medium (200 TPD)A later step, when the County choosesSecond module ($55M Carbotura capital)
CSA term end30 yearsFrom Phase Initial commercial operation

No calendar targets. No regulatory hard deadline applies, and this proposal sets no dated milestones. The schedule runs from the City's and County's decisions: 12–24 months from permit issuance to commercial operation for Phase Initial, and Phase Medium whenever the County chooses.

§7Community Value Stack

Required separation

County fiscal effects (fee paid, royalty received, landfill airspace) and regional economic effects (employment) are distinct categories — never combined into a single benefit line. §7.1 is treasury effects. §7.2 is regional economic effects.

§7.1County Fiscal Effects

  • Beneficiation Fee paid (outflow): $3.65M in Year 1 at 100 TPD; $7.29M at 200 TPD; escalates 2.5%/yr.
  • Circular Royalty™ received (inflow): $0 in Year 1 (13-month lag); $4.38M in Year 2, $5.69M in Year 10 and $10.79M in Year 30 at 100 TPD; $8.76M, $11.38M and $21.57M at 200 TPD.
  • Disposal cost: no saving claimed. The $100/ton fee is above the $51/ton landfill gate rate.
  • Landfill airspace: 36,500 t/yr (100 TPD) or 73,000 t/yr (200 TPD) stays out of the City landfill's permitted cells. Cell 7 (approved January 2023, $2.36M) was expected to last about 5–7 years; diversion stretches it. The City bought 320 acres in 2017 for $4M to extend site life 60+ years.
  • Capital obligation: $0.

§7.2Regional Economic Effects

These flow to the Minot regional economy (Ward, McHenry and Renville counties, 75,694 people) — not to the County treasury.

PhaseDirect jobsIndirect jobs (~3×)
Phase Initial (100 TPD)~25~75
Phase Medium (200 TPD)~50~150

Estimated from standard per-TPD scaling; indirect roughly 3×.

Carbotura's capital investment of $75M (Phase Initial) or $130M (Phase Medium) sits in the host jurisdiction; its property-tax treatment depends on North Dakota law and any agreement reached.

§8Why This Works in Minot

  1. Volume fit. The City of Minot Landfill reports about 82,000 t/yr of MSW. Phase Initial (36,500 t/yr) is about 45% of it and Phase Medium (73,000 t/yr) about 89%. Neither needs a partner jurisdiction.

  2. Landfill life. The City approved Cell 7 in January 2023 ($2.36M, about 5–7 years) and bought 320 acres in 2017 for $4M to extend site life 60+ years. Every ton converted instead of landfilled keeps permitted airspace available for what cannot be converted.

  3. The royalty. The fee is above the gate rate, and this proposal says so. The Circular Royalty™ is received from Year 2 at $120/ton, exceeds the fee per ton from then on, and the gap widens every year of the 30-year CSA term.

  4. No public capital. Carbotura funds $75M at 100 TPD and $130M at 200 TPD. Ward County (68,233 people, 2025 estimate, down about 2.1% since 2020 per the Minot Daily News) takes on no debt.

  5. A manufacturing destination. Delivered material becomes Circular Materials, not landfill volume. North Dakota has no advanced-recycling or manufacturing-classification statute; solid waste rules are NDCC 23.1-08 and NDAC 33.1-20. Manufacturing classification is pursued under the RPT (§1.0); nothing is contingent on it.

  6. An honest market picture. Ward County has two permitted MSW landfills, the City of Minot Landfill (NDDEQ permit 0272) and McDaniel Landfill Inc, Sawyer (NDDEQ permit 0326). The proposal does not rely on any claim of a single disposal option.

★Basis of Presentation

This document defines the commercial structure, deployment architecture, fiscal terms, and community value of the proposed 30-year Circular Supply Agreement with the City of Minot / Ward County, North Dakota. Each parameter is classified by confidence tier. Final values confirm at the Deployment Study.

ParameterValue AppliedBasisConfidence
Beneficiation Fee — Year 1$100/ton, +2.5%/yrthe bottom of the standard $100–$150/ton rangeLocked
City of Minot Landfill gate ratesMSW $51/ton · inert $37/tonminotnd.gov/691/Landfill-Rates, effective 2025-01-01Verified
City landfill intake~82,000 t/yr MSW + ~68,800 t/yr inert, six countiesEstimated from a vendor case study of the City landfill (undated, written after the 2011 flood; retrieved 2026-11-10)Estimated
Phase Initial100 TPD / 36,500 TPY (~45% of MSW intake) · $75MArchitect decision 2026-11-10Locked
Phase Medium200 TPD / 73,000 TPY (~89%) · $130M total · when the County choosesArchitect decision 2026-11-10Locked
Royalty formula and parameters120% base · +1pp/yr · 13-month lag · rolling monthlyCarbotura standard parametersLocked
Timing12–24 months from permit issuance to commercial operationCarbotura standard deployment range; no calendar datesEstimated
Employment~25 / ~50 direct (100 / 200 TPD); indirect ~3×Standard per-TPD scalingEstimated
PopulationWard County 68,233 (2025 est.; 68,427 in 2024); City of Minot ~47,300; metro 75,694Minot Daily News, 2026-03-26Verified
Site candidates (P1, P2, P3)Three corridor areas; P1 North Minot preferred; no parcel identifiedGeographic review; zoning districts M1 / M2 / M3 (Minot zoning ordinance, March 2020 revision)Provisional
Landfill operatorsCity of Minot Landfill, 4450 37th Ave SW (City Public Works, Solid Waste Management Division; NDDEQ permit 0272) · McDaniel Landfill Inc, Sawyer (NDDEQ permit 0326)minotnd.gov/288/Landfill · NDDEQ active MSW landfillsVerified

Unresolved Data Gaps

  • Commercial collection terms in Minot — not verified; confirmed at the Deployment Study.
  • Date and basis of the reported ~82,000 t/yr intake figure — confirmed with City Public Works.
  • Candidate parcels — none identified.
  • North Dakota NDDEQ permit timeline — pre-application engagement at the Deployment Study.

Confidence tiers: Locked = Architect-decided or contractually standard Verified = sourced to named public record Estimated = Carbotura-modeled or reported with stated basis Provisional = pre-Term Sheet placeholder.

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